Climate Policy Uncertainty: A “Wild Card” for Corporate Risk-Taking?

Yixin Wang

doi:10.54254/2754-1169/2025.27890

Advances in Economics, Management and Political SciencesOpen access

Climate Policy Uncertainty: A “Wild Card” for Corporate Risk-Taking?

Research Article

Open Access

Climate Policy Uncertainty: A “Wild Card” for Corporate Risk-Taking?

Yixin Wang ^1*

¹ Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Da Lian, China

^*Corresponding author: wangyixin15244921416@outlook.com

Published on 14 October 2025

AEMPS Vol.227

ISSN (Print): 2754-1177

ISSN (Online): 2754-1169

ISBN (Print): 978-1-80590-309-3

ISBN (Online): 978-1-80590-310-9

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Abstract

The research paper develops a China Climate Policy Uncertainty Index and analyzes how this uncertainty affects corporate risk behaviors. By leveraging data from publicly-traded companies in China, I've discovered that a rise in climate policy uncertainty is directly tied to more risky corporate actions. Even when I swapped out key variables, omitted outlier years, included additional control factors, adjusted for fixed effects, and introduced lagged models, this conclusion held steadfast.Continued examination shows that sustained growth in climate policy ambiguity increases corporate risk-taking due to decreased investment effectiveness and decreased credit access. Additionally, the impact is notably greater among privately held businesses, companies with significant pollution, and those reliant on substantial capital investment. This study broadens the existing research on the link between climate policy uncertainty and corporate risk-taking, offering practical insights for business strategy, government policy formulation, and regulatory oversight.

Keywords:

climate policy uncertainty, corporate risk-taking, corporate investment efficiency, corporate credit availability

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