The Impact of Public-Service Fiscal Policy on Population Growth: An Empirical Analysis Using China’s Provincial Panel Data
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The Impact of Public-Service Fiscal Policy on Population Growth: An Empirical Analysis Using China’s Provincial Panel Data

Chuming Zhang 1*
1 Heilongjiang University
*Corresponding author: 1455784658@qq.com
Published on 14 October 2025
Journal Cover
AEMPS Vol.225
ISSN (Print): 2754-1177
ISSN (Online): 2754-1169
ISBN (Print): 978-1-80590-385-7
ISBN (Online): 978-1-80590-386-4
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Abstract

Population growth relates directly to labor supply, social welfare, and economic development, and is therefore a critical determinant of a country’s long-term trajectory. This paper employs a simple linear regression model on provincial panel data from China covering 2007–2023 to examine the effect of fiscal policies for public services on population growth. We further perform heterogeneity analyses across regions and time periods. The empirical results indicate that: (1) fiscal policy for public services has a positive and significant effect on population growth; (2) this effect is strongest in the Northeast, followed by the Western and Central regions, and weakest in the Eastern region; (3) after the nationwide implementation of the two-child policy, the influence of public-service fiscal policy on population growth increased.

Keywords:

Public-service fiscal policy, population growth, regression analysis, China

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Zhang,C. (2025). The Impact of Public-Service Fiscal Policy on Population Growth: An Empirical Analysis Using China’s Provincial Panel Data. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences,225,59-66.

References

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Cite this article

Zhang,C. (2025). The Impact of Public-Service Fiscal Policy on Population Growth: An Empirical Analysis Using China’s Provincial Panel Data. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences,225,59-66.

Data availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

About volume

Volume title: Proceedings of ICEMGD 2025 Symposium: Resilient Business Strategies in Global Markets

ISBN: 978-1-80590-385-7(Print) / 978-1-80590-386-4(Online)
Editor: Florian Marcel Nuţă Nuţă, Li Chai
Conference website: https://2025.icemgd.org/CAU.html
Conference date: 20 September 2025
Series: Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
Volume number: Vol.225
ISSN: 2754-1169(Print) / 2754-1177(Online)